Monday, 10 November 2008

Populus - Lib Dems being squeezed

. The Times has the latest Populas poll. It confirms the trend that we are indeed being squeezed and furthermore as I have said on this blog that our support is switching to Labour and giving it the foundations of the 'Brown bounce';

"its [Labours] recovery has been largely at the expense of the Liberal Democrats and smaller parties."

The poll asks some interesting questions on the economy. It shows that the Conservatives calls for 'belt-tightening' might not necessarily be resonating with voters;

"Some 73 per cent believe that increased public spending on construction projects and house building to keep the economy moving will be effective".

Furthermore;

"61 per cent think “tax cuts to help people cope with the impact of the recession even if it boosts government borrowing” will be effective.

However, voters are split on whether “increased public borrowing now to boost the economy in the short-term even if it means higher taxes and slower spending growth in the long-term” will be effective: 40 per cent agree but 49 per cent believe this will be ineffective."

I think the apparent contradiction between the first figure and the second two is down almost entirely to the fact that people, when presented with a list of potential negative consequences, weren't so keen on the idea. In other words it is down entirely to how the question was asked. However, in general I feel it confirms the view that the best place to attack the Conservative package will be from the left.

All in all this polls confirms that there is alot of work to be done if we are to avoid being squeezed at the next general election....

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Interesting piece!! The leadership and the wider party organisation are doing really excellent and inovative things, but sometimes I don't get the sense that collectively we've understood just how vulnerable our political position is; our key challenge is that the UK is clearly moving back towards two party politics. We see this happening elsewhere too - has anyone noticed that our sister party in Ireland (the progressive democrats - been going 23 years) voted yesterday to dissolve themselves as they're left with only 4 Dail seats and think they might loose these, despite holding one ministerial portfolio. I'd love to share Nick's optimism that we could double ours, but I think its almost certain that we will suffer a net loss..and risk further decline unless we can find a high profile way of reaching out with our message about why a third party should have a role on the national scene and in government and public life more generally.

Darrell G said...

I think people are aware to a degree but there is a dearth of ideas what to do...you are right; we are innovating but the message really isnt getting across...

I'd love to share it too....but it's just not squaring with how things are at the moment...incidentally, I am going to look into that story now...sounds interesting...

Barrie Wood said...

Sister party ? The Prog Dems are Thatcherites who I'd never, ever, vote for if I had a vote in the Irish Republic ! Their record in government is dire !

Darrell G said...

Barrie,

Well there you go then...a nice example for our libertarian friends to follow isnt it...

Having said that I do think their are wider issues here about the dangers we are facing as a thrid party...of being squeezed...